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| RED ALERT!!!: Typhoon NANMADOL (14W) for Taiwan |
| Sunday, August 28, 2011 |
Typhoon NANMADOL (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s): Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kaoshsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. |
posted by moderator 12:45 PM |
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| RED ALERT!!!: Hurricane IRENE (AL09) for the United States |
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Hurricane IRENE (AL09) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the United States
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
New York (40.7 N, 73.9 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Canada probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 21 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours Greenland
probability for TS is 60% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Montpelier (44.3 N, 72.6 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 21 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours Concord (43.2 N, 71.5 W) probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 21 hours probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
Albany (42.7 N, 73.8 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 9 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
Boston (42.3 N, 71.0 W) probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 21 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
Providence (41.8 N, 71.4 W) probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 9 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
Philadelphia (39.9 N, 75.2 W)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Augusta (44.3 N, 69.8 W) probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 21 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours Sept-Iles (50.3 N, 66.4 W) probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
Fredericton (45.9 N, 66.7 W)
probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
Saint John (45.3 N, 66.1 W)
probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
Goose Bay (53.3 N, 60.3 W)
probability for TS is 95% in about 45 hours
Quebec (46.8 N, 71.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 21 hours probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours
Charlottetown (46.2 N, 63.1 W)
probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours
Washington D.C. (38.9 N, 77.0 W)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Halifax (44.6 N, 63.6 W)
probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours
Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. |
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posted by moderator12:37 PM |
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| RED ALERT!!!: Typhoon NANMADOL (14W) for the Philippines and Taiwan |
| Saturday, August 27, 2011 |
Typhoon NANMADOL (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s): Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kaoshsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
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posted by moderator11:32 PM |
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| RED ALERT!!!: Hurricane IRENE (AL09) for the United States |
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Hurricane IRENE (AL09) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s): Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the United States
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
New York (40.7 N, 73.9 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 21 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Canada
probability for TS is 95% in about 33 hours
Greenland
probability for TS is 70% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Philadelphia (39.9 N, 75.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 21 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
Concord (43.2 N, 71.5 W)
probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
Boston (42.3 N, 71.0 W)
probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
Providence (41.8 N, 71.4 W)
probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
Augusta (44.3 N, 69.8 W)
probability for TS is 95% in about 33 hours
Montpelier (44.3 N, 72.6 W)
probability for TS is 95% in about 33 hours
Sept-Iles (50.3 N, 66.4 W)
probability for TS is 95% in about 45 hours
Fredericton (45.9 N, 66.7 W)
probability for TS is 95% in about 45 hours
Goose Bay (53.3 N, 60.3 W)
probability for TS is 95% in about 69 hours
Albany (42.7 N, 73.8 W)
probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours
Saint John (45.3 N, 66.1 W)
probability for TS is 90% in about 45 hours
Richmond (37.5 N, 77.5 W)
probability for TS is 85% currently
Washington D.C. (38.9 N, 77.0 W)
probability for TS is 80% within 9 hours
Quebec (46.8 N, 71.2 W)
probability for TS is 80% in about 33 hours
Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
probability for TS is 55% currently
Charlottetown (46.2 N, 63.1 W)
probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. |
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posted by moderator11:26 PM |
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| RED ALERT!!!: Hurricane IRENE (AL09) for the United States |
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Hurricane IRENE (AL09) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s): Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the United States
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 9 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
New York (40.7 N, 73.9 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% in about 21 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
Concord (43.2 N, 71.5 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 33 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Canada
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 33 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 45 hours
Greenland
probability for TS is 60% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Philadelphia (39.9 N, 75.2 W)
probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Augusta (44.3 N, 69.8 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 33 hours
Boston (42.3 N, 71.0 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 33 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 33 hours
Providence (41.8 N, 71.4 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 33 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 33 hours
Fredericton (45.9 N, 66.7 W)
probability for TS is 95% in about 45 hours
Richmond (37.5 N, 77.5 W)
probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
Albany (42.7 N, 73.8 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 33 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours
Saint John (45.3 N, 66.1 W)
probability for TS is 90% in about 45 hours
Sept-Iles (50.3 N, 66.4 W)
probability for TS is 90% in about 45 hours
Washington D.C. (38.9 N, 77.0 W)
probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours
Montpelier (44.3 N, 72.6 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 33 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours
Goose Bay (53.3 N, 60.3 W)
probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
Charlottetown (46.2 N, 63.1 W)
probability for TS is 75% in about 45 hours
Quebec (46.8 N, 71.2 W)
probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
probability for TS is 65% currently
Halifax (44.6 N, 63.6 W)
probability for TS is 65% in about 45 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. |
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posted by moderator4:42 PM |
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| Latest satellite images Hurricane Irene |
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posted by moderator2:21 PM |
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| Latest Trackmaps Hurricane Irene |
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posted by moderator1:52 PM |
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| CENTER OF IRENE MAKES LANDFALL NEAR CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA |
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HURRICANE IRENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 28A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
800 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011
...CENTER OF IRENE MAKES LANDFALL NEAR CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH
CAROLINA...
SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.7N 76.5W
ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM NNE OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM SW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.11 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LITTLE RIVER INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO SAGAMORE BEACH
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND CURRITUCK
SOUNDS...DELAWARE BAY...CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF DRUM POINT...NEW
YORK CITY...LONG ISLAND...LONG ISLAND SOUND...COASTAL CONNECTICUT
AND RHODE ISLAND...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO LITTLE RIVER INLET
* CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT NORTHWARD AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC
* NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH TO MERRIMACK RIVER
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MERRIMACK RIVER TO EASTPORT MAINE
INTERESTS IN NEW BRUNSWICK AND NOVA SCOTIA CANADA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF IRENE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER INDICATES THAT THE EYE OF IRENE
MADE LANDFALL NEAR CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA AROUND 730 AM
EDT...1130 UTC. THE ESTIMATED INTENSITY OF IRENE AT LANDFALL WAS
85 MPH...140 KM/H...CATEGORY ONE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE
WIND SCALE.
AT 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 34.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.5 WEST. IRENE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IRENE WILL MOVE ACROSS EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA TODAY. THE HURRICANE IS FORECAST TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE
MID-ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT AND MOVE OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON
SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IRENE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SLIGHT WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS IRENE CROSSES
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...BUT IRENE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A
HURRICANE AS IT MOVES NEAR OR OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES AND NEW
ENGLAND.
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
260 MILES...415 KM. A SUSTAINED WIND OF 59 MPH WITH A GUST TO 84
MPH WAS RECENTLY MEASURED AT CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM DATA FROM AN AIR
FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.
A COASTAL MARINE OBSERVING SITE AT CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA
RECENTLY REPORTED A PRESSURE OF 954.0 MB...28.17 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS SHOULD SPREAD NORTHWARD ALONG THE
MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATER THIS MORNING WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS
EXPECTED BY THIS AFTERNOON. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS SHOULD SPREAD
NORTHWARD THROUGH THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA DURING THE DAY.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND TONIGHT WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY.
STORM SURGE...AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM TIDE WILL RAISE WATER
LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 5 TO 9 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA IN NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE
AND PAMLICO SOUNDS. STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH
AS 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA
FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER NORTHWARD TO CAPE COD
INCLUDING SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND ITS
TRIBUTARIES. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY
LARGE...DESTRUCTIVE...AND LIFE-THREATENING WAVES. STORM SURGE
VALUES ARE VERY LOCATION-SPECIFIC...AND USERS ARE URGED TO CONSULT
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THEIR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES.
RAINFALL...IRENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...FROM
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD THROUGH THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES
INTO EASTERN NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING AND LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IRENE ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE SWELLS WILL CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA TODAY.
(NOAA) |
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posted by moderator1:27 PM |
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| RED ALERT!!!: Hurricane IRENE (AL09) for the United States and Canada |
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Hurricane IRENE (AL09) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s): Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the United States
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Canada
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 45 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
New York (40.7 N, 73.9 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 33 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 21 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Concord (43.2 N, 71.5 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 33 hours
Albany (42.7 N, 73.8 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 33 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours
Philadelphia (39.9 N, 75.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 33 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours
Boston (42.3 N, 71.0 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 33 hours
Montpelier (44.3 N, 72.6 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 45 hours
Providence (41.8 N, 71.4 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 33 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Augusta (44.3 N, 69.8 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 45 hours
Richmond (37.5 N, 77.5 W)
probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
Quebec (46.8 N, 71.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
Washington D.C. (38.9 N, 77.0 W)
probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours
Sept-Iles (50.3 N, 66.4 W)
probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours
Fredericton (45.9 N, 66.7 W)
probability for TS is 65% in about 45 hours
Goose Bay (53.3 N, 60.3 W)
probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours
Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
probability for TS is 55% within 9 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. |
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posted by moderator12:05 PM |
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| RED ALERT!!!: Typhoon NANMADOL (14W) for the Philippines |
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Typhoon NANMADOL (14W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s): Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kaoshsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. |
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posted by moderator11:58 AM |
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